According to a poll jointly conducted by The New York Times and Siena College on November 3 local time, among the seven key "swing states" in the 2024 US election, Harris, the US vice president and Democratic presidential candidate, leads former US president and Republican presidential candidate Trump by a narrow margin of 48% to 47%.
With the US election looming and the race between Kamala Harris, the vice-president, and Donald Trump, the Republican, deadlocked in key swing states, according to polls by The New York Times and Siena College. Mr. Harris now has a narrow lead over Mr. Trump in Nevada, North Carolina and Wisconsin, while Mr. Trump maintains an advantage in Arizona and has erased Hamas's lead in Pennsylvania.
A New York Times and Siena College poll of 1,142 registered voters nationwide by telephone July 22-24 showed Trump and Harris at 48 percent and 47 percent, respectively, with a margin of error of +/- 3.3 percentage points. A previous poll conducted in early July had Biden trailing Trump by 6 percentage points.